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3 min read

XRPUSD Bearish Momentum to Return at Key Inflection Points?

by Kate Benson
5 months ago
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XRPUSD is currently trading at approximately $2.14773 as it navigates within a descending channel pattern that has contained price action since its recent peak near the $2.50 level.

The cryptocurrency has shown signs of a bullish pullback after finding support at lower Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a potential shift in momentum despite the overall downtrend.

Key XRPUSD Levels to Watch

The chart reveals several critical price levels that traders should monitor closely. The upper boundary of the descending channel sits around $2.22053, representing the immediate resistance level. This coincides with the 0 Fibonacci level, making it a significant barrier for bullish momentum.

On the downside, multiple Fibonacci retracement levels provide potential support zones. The 0.382 Fibonacci level at $1.83973 served as a bounce point during the recent downtrend.

Meanwhile the 0.5 level at $1.72210 and the 0.618 level at $1.60447 represent deeper retracement zones should bearish pressure resume. The 0.764 Fibonacci level at $1.45893 marks a critical support that, if broken, could signal a more substantial decline toward the 1.0 Fibonacci extension at $1.22367.

The current price action shows XRPUSD attempting to establish support above the $2.00 psychological level, which coincides with the middle portion of the descending channel. This area will be crucial for determining whether buyers can maintain control in the near term.

XRPUSD Technical Indicators Analysis

The Stochastic oscillator (14, 3, 3) is currently showing signs of bearish divergence as it begins to turn down from overbought territory (above 80). This indicates that momentum may be waning after the recent recovery from lower levels. The Stochastic’s position suggests that the price might experience a pullback in the short term as selling pressure potentially increases.

The MACD (12, 26, close) demonstrates a more constructive outlook, with the MACD line (blue) crossing above the signal line (orange) and the histogram posting positive values. This bullish crossover suggests increasing buying momentum, which contradicts the Stochastic’s bearish signal. The MACD’s recent behavior shows potential for continued upside, particularly if the histogram continues to expand.

The interplay between these conflicting signals creates a mixed technical picture that aligns with XRP’s current position at a critical decision point within the descending channel pattern.

XRPUSD Price Outlook

XRPUSD appears to be at a technical crossroads, with price consolidating near the $2.15 level after recovering from the lower bounds of the descending channel. The recent bounce from deeper Fibonacci retracement levels suggests buyers have defended key support zones, but the recovery remains tentative as price approaches the upper resistance of the channel.

For bullish continuation to materialize, XRPUSD must break and close above the upper boundary of the descending channel and the 0 Fibonacci level at $2.22053. Such a breakout would invalidate the descending channel pattern and potentially trigger a more significant rally toward the $2.50 area, where previous resistance was encountered.

Conversely, failure to break above the channel resistance could result in a rejection and renewed downside pressure. In this scenario, traders should watch for a potential retest of the $2.00 psychological level, followed by the Fibonacci support cluster between $1.83973 and $1.60447.

The conflicting signals from momentum indicators suggest that volatility may increase in the coming days as bulls and bears battle for control at current levels. The resolution of this technical standoff will likely determine the medium-term trajectory for XRPUSD, with the descending channel boundaries and key Fibonacci levels serving as the primary reference points for potential price reversals or continuation moves.

Kate Benson

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