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3 min read

XRP Breakout Rally Fizzles – Will 38% Fib Level Attract Bulls?

by Kate Benson
3 months ago
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xrp july 1 2025
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XRP recently broke above its descending channel resistance, currently trading at $2.22656 as the cryptocurrency builds momentum following this decisive breakout.

However, the initial surge appears to be losing steam near current levels, suggesting that a pullback to key Fibonacci support zones could be on the horizon before the next leg higher materializes.

The channel breakout represents a major shift in XRP’s technical structure, as price has successfully penetrated the downward-sloping resistance line that had been capping rallies since the early stages of the chart. This breakout was accompanied by increased buying interest, though the subsequent price action suggests that bulls may need to regroup before attempting to establish higher levels.

The moving average configuration supports the bullish breakout thesis, with the 100-period SMA (blue line) positioned around $2.15 providing dynamic support below current market levels. The 200-period SMA (red line) near $2.25 is now acting as immediate resistance, creating a narrow trading range that could determine the sustainability of the breakout move.

Price action following the channel break has been somewhat choppy, with XRP struggling to maintain momentum above the newly broken resistance level.

xrp july 1 2025

XRP Pullback Zones

Following the XRP channel breakout, attention now turns to potential retracement levels where buyers might emerge to support any corrective move. The Fibonacci analysis reveals several critical zones that could serve as magnets during a pullback scenario.

The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $2.16797 represents the first line of defense for bulls, coinciding closely with psychological support and previous resistance-turned-support areas. A pullback to this level would likely attract value buyers looking to capitalize on the breakout momentum at more favorable entry points.

Should selling pressure intensify, the 50% retracement around $2.11869 could provide a deeper correction opportunity, though this level sits below the broken channel resistance which would ideally hold as new support. A test of this zone would represent a more significant retracement but could offer a final shakeout before the next advance.

The 61.8% Fibonacci level around $2.06973 would constitute a substantial pullback that might call into question the validity of the channel breakout. However, given the significance of the channel break, this level could also represent a high-probability reversal zone where institutional buyers step in to defend the technical breakout.

Indicators Suggest Consolidation

Technical indicators are showing mixed signals following the XRP bullish breakout, with the MACD histogram displaying some weakening momentum despite the recent advance. This suggests that buying pressure may be temporarily exhausted and supports the case for a near-term consolidation or pullback phase.

The MACD signal lines remain in positive territory but appear to be flattening, indicating that momentum is stabilizing rather than accelerating.

Stochastic readings have moved into the upper portion of their range, approaching levels that historically coincide with short-term pullbacks. The oscillator is not yet in overbought territory but is positioned where profit-taking activity typically emerges.

Kate Benson

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