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Bitcoin Technology
3 min read

Bitcoin Whales Display Caution Pre-US Election: Dramatic Drop in Large-Holder Net Inflows

by Mark Valerius
2 years ago
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"Bitcoin Whales Display Caution Pre-US Election: Dramatic Drop in Large-Holder Net Inflows"
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin (BTC) whale activity has decreased significantly as the U.S. Presidential election approaches.
  • Bitcoin’s price has stabilized around $67,000, while liquidations and trading volumes have also declined.

The activity of large Bitcoin (BTC) holders, also known as whales, has seen a significant drop with just over a week left until the U.S. Presidential election. Bitcoin’s price has remained steady at around $67,000.

Whale Activity and Price Stability

Data from IntoTheBlock shows a sharp decrease in net inflows from Bitcoin whales, from approximately 38,800 BTC on October 20 to a mere 258 BTC on October 26. This trend suggests that these large holders might be apprehensive as the U.S. election day, November 5, nears.

These whales experienced a net outflow of 4,750 BTC and 533 BTC on October 21 and 22, respectively. This resulted in a brief drop in Bitcoin’s price below the $66,000 mark on October 23.

Liquidations and Trading Volume

Crypto liquidations have also seen a significant decrease, with an 85% drop in the past day, according to data from Coinglass. The total liquidation amount is currently around $59 million. Bitcoin liquidations accounted for $5.6 million of this total, with $2.2 million in longs and $3.4 million in shorts.

Bitcoin’s market cap stands at $1.33 trillion, with the digital asset hovering close to the $67,000 mark for the past week. Its daily trading volume has seen a 63% decrease in the past 24 hours, now at $15.5 billion.

The decrease in Bitcoin liquidations, trading volume, and whale activity suggests a sense of uncertainty among investors.

ETFs and Future Elections

Despite the current market uncertainty, the U.S.-based Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continue to see inflows. These investment products recorded a net inflow of over $3 billion this month alone.

The upcoming “super election year” in 2024 could also influence Bitcoin whale activity. Elections in major economies like the U.S., India, Mexico, Indonesia, and Taiwan could increase market volatility, prompting significant moves in the cryptocurrency markets.

Some whales may view Bitcoin as a hedge against election-related risks to fiat currencies. They might attempt to capitalize on expected post-election market turbulence, especially in countries with contentious elections.

The upcoming U.S. Presidential election between Vice President Kamala Harris and Ex-President Donald Trump could result in new or altered regulatory stances on crypto. Whales may react to potential regulatory changes by shifting their Bitcoin holdings or selling off portions of their holdings.

In conclusion, Bitcoin whales are likely operating with increased caution and strategic foresight given the supercharged election cycle and its potential impact on global financial markets.

Mark Valerius

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